Tuesday 16 February 2010

Slow progress

PL since last update £0.32

Yesterday £4.95
Today Horse racing -£1.83
Football -£2.75

Got back briefly into profit for the month yesterday but lost a small amount on today's poor quality racing after Folkestone was abandoned. I haven't done well historically at Southwell so traded carefully and actually made money. Unfortunately lost every trade at Newcastle to be down for the day overall. This is actually my first live trading day at Newcastle so will watch out for this course

Spent the last 3 days coding and back testing my "killer" filter which turned out to be a false dawn as it actually worsened results. I had to learn some serious coding to implement this which I will use in future. It would be an understatement however even if I say I am totally gutted by this as I had high expectations reviewing this indicator on my charts.

So now I have reviewed by Course and by Odds range. Today I will look at results by race type and will leave it at that. I will now move on to collect data from 8am for horse racing and do some match betting and casino bagging

On the positive side my bot has been very stable and I feel I can trust it now.

I also traded a correct score strategy today I copied from another blog. Unfortunately the first day was a loser but I am happy with the theory and possibilities of the system. I traded the AC Milan v Man United game which I and the spreads expected to be low scoring. I risked about £8.50 but traded out with a loss of £2.75 at 75mins when the score was 1-3 to united. Game eventually finished 2-3 to united and I say I am happy as even though the game was totally against expectations the loss was quite small. I wll trade 10 more games to decide if I will continue. This can't really be automated fully and involves a lot of judgement before the game for match selection and also in play. I am also using this as a hobby and to collect inplay football data so will not be dissapointed to make £200 a month on this. This actually helps with the Premium charge

No comments: